Conf = Liberty League State = NY
Nickname = Herons Coach = Anne PhillipsGAME LIST
Team Power Rating = 94.3395844 home-field advantage = -0.52 Date Opponent Conf/State (W-L, PR) Score 224 H Nazareth Empire Eight ( 7-10, 81.0) 16- 2 302 H York MAC Commonwea (12- 6, 93.9) 11-10 306 H Geneseo SUNYAC (14- 3, 89.5) 16- 9 309 A Cortland SUNYAC (13- 4, 89.7) 14- 5 318 N Salisbury Coast to Coas (13- 3, 96.8) 10- 7 322 H Union Liberty Leagu (11- 6, 89.2) 12- 6 323 H RPI Liberty Leagu ( 8- 8, 87.7) 15- 9 327 H St John Fisher Empire Eight (10- 7, 90.5) 16- 5 330 H Skidmore Liberty Leagu ( 9- 9, 87.7) 13- 4 405 A St Lawrence Liberty Leagu ( 5-12, 85.6) 12- 8 406 A Clarkson Liberty Leagu ( 8- 8, 84.9) 15- 8 410 A Ithaca Liberty Leagu (16- 1, 93.1) 3-16 413 A Bard Liberty Leagu ( 2-15, 67.5) 25- 1 414 A Wesleyan NESCAC (14- 2, 97.8) 10-13 417 H RIT Liberty Leagu ( 6- 9, 83.5) 21- 3 420 A Rochester Liberty Leagu ( 9- 9, 86.2) 21- 8 427 H Vassar Liberty Leagu ( 3-12, 82.1) 24- 3 430 H St Lawrence Liberty Leagu ( 5-12, 85.6) 19- 6 503 H Union Liberty Leagu (11- 6, 89.2) 13- 3
PREDICTION LIST
------------------------------------- |Real = actual goal margin | |Pred = predicted goal margin | |+ = slightly above prediction | |++ = above prediction | |+++ = well above prediction | |- = slightly below prediction | |-- = below prediction | |--- = well below prediction | |Goals* = Goals over (+) under (-) | | prediction. N/A when ten | | goal limit is exceeded | |n/a = Outside division | ------------------------------------- Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 224 H Nazareth 16- 2 14 13 0.00 302 H York 11-10 1 0 0.05 306 H Geneseo 16- 9 7 5 1.62 309 A Cortland 14- 5 9 4 + 2.88 318 N Salisbury 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 5.47 322 H Union 12- 6 6 5 0.29 323 H RPI 15- 9 6 7 -1.00 327 H St John Fisher 16- 5 11 4 + 2.67 330 H Skidmore 13- 4 9 7 0.00 405 A St Lawrence 12- 8 4 8 - -3.00 406 A Clarkson 15- 8 7 8 0.00 410 A Ithaca 3-16 -13 0 --- -7.73 413 A Bard 25- 1 24 26 0.00 414 A Wesleyan 10-13 -3 -3 0.93 417 H RIT 21- 3 18 11 0.00 420 A Rochester 21- 8 13 7 0.00 427 H Vassar 24- 3 21 12 0.00 430 H St Lawrence 19- 6 13 9 0.00 503 H Union 13- 3 10 5 1.29UNDER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 410 A Ithaca 3-16 -13 0 --- -7.73 405 A St Lawrence 12- 8 4 8 - -3.00OVER-ACHIEVED GAMES
Date Opponent Score Real Pred +/- Goals* 318 N Salisbury 10- 7 3 -2 ++ 5.47 309 A Cortland 14- 5 9 4 + 2.88 327 H St John Fisher 16- 5 11 4 + 2.67
RATING BASED ON POWER RATING Power Rating............. 94.34 Power Rank................. 8 SOS (PR) Rating.......... 72.20 SOS (PR) Rank.............. 21 SOS (RPI) Rating......... .7135 SOS (RPI) Rank............. 16 RPI Rating............... .6600 RPI Rank................... 14 Champ. Probability ...... 4.5 Championship Rank ......... 8 Selection sum ........... 38 Selection Rank ............ 11 Qual Win (PR) Rating..... 95. Qual Win (PR) Rank......... 7 Qual Win (RPI) Rating.... 80. Qual Win (RPI) Rank........ 8 PERFORMANCE BASED ON POWER RATING Ave Offensive Goals ..... 15.1 Ave Defensive Goals ....... 6.6 Wins/Losses(all )...... 17- 2 Ave Goal diff (all )..... 8.4 Wins/Losses(top 5)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 5)..... Wins/Losses(top 10)...... 0- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 10)..... Wins/Losses(top 20)...... 1- 0 Ave Goal diff (top 20)..... 24.0 Wins/Losses(last 3)...... 3- 0 Ave Goal diff (last 3)..... 14.7